Estimating the effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on US SARS-CoV-2 infections in the first year of the pandemic

Payne Institute Faculty Fellow Mark Deinert writes about how SARS-CoV-2 emerged in late 2019 as a zoonotic infection of humans, and proceeded to cause a worldwide pandemic of historic magnitude. Here, we use a simple epidemiological model and consider the full range of initial estimates from published studies for infection and recovery rates, seasonality, changes in mobility, the effectiveness of masks and the fraction of people wearing them.  June 29, 2022.